repository · survival report #5 · 2026-10-12 · method v4 · unranked

smithersai/smithers

In Survival Report #5 (2026-10-12, method v4): 2,114,510 of 8,702,149 lines introduced by 13,583 AI-tagged commits are still at HEAD, 24.3 %. These are counts, not grades. No rank, no colour, no verdict, and no comparison with any other repository on this page. Every number links to the audit bytes behind it and the method and its limits are public.

GitHub · latest.json · badge.svg · Survival Report #5 · all repositories · Atom feed

Baseline: this repository's untagged lines

Commits with no machine-readable AI signal, human-written, inline-completed or untagged-agent code alike: 5,988 commits, 11,783,879 lines introduced, 1,593,148 still at HEAD (13.5 % line-weighted, 0.0 % median per commit). Age is the time from a commit to HEAD. The baseline was added in method v3 and is unchanged later; definition at causari.dev/method.

Age-matched: AI-tagged lines 24.3 % against untagged lines in the matched age windows 20.4 %, a gap of +3.9 pts, over 4 age windows holding 100 % of the AI-tagged lines. The oldest line still at HEAD dates 2026-02-04; 771 commits (249 AI-tagged, 959,166 lines) are older, and nothing from before that date survives, tagged or not.

Line ageAI-taggedcommitsUntaggedcommits
0–30 d68.3 %7,31263.2 %2,445
30–90 d12.2 %3,1447.3 %1,871
90–180 d0.2 %2,2571.0 %465
180–365 d0.0 %8700.0 %1,207

By agent, in Survival Report #5

Alphabetical. A commit is attributed to the agent its metadata names; one agent per commit. VERIFIED commits only.

AgentCommitsLines introducedStill at HEADLine-weightedCapped
claude-code10,0447,981,9131,678,66221.0 %40.8 %
cursor14000.0 %0.0 %
github-copilot12500.0 %0.0 %
openai-codex3,537720,171435,84860.5 %67.1 %

History across reports

One row per report this repository was measured in, oldest first; each report measured HEAD as of its own date. The line is the line-weighted ratio on a fixed 0 – 100 % axis; each point is one report.

Line-weighted ratio across reports, 0 to 100 %: #2 14.9 %; #4 21.4 %; #5 24.3 %
ReportDateAI-tagged commitsLines introducedStill at HEADLine-weighted
Survival Report #22026-09-237,3026,805,2901,016,59714.9 %
Survival Report #42026-10-0510,8287,993,3751,707,03621.4 %
Survival Report #52026-10-1213,5838,702,1492,114,51024.3 %

Reproduce

One command, any machine, no account: the same bytes the report was built from. The exact bytes behind this page are repos/smithersai__smithers.json of Survival Report #5. Open an issue with your JSON if it differs.

re audit smithersai/smithers --json   # method v4, full clone

Badge

Text only, one colour, no red and no green. It follows the latest report and is cached for one hour. badge-dark.svg is the same badge as paper on ink.

AI code survival  24.3 % · causari · #5 AI code survival  24.3 % · causari · #5, paper on ink

README · Markdown
[![AI code survival](https://causari.dev/r/smithersai/smithers/badge.svg)](https://causari.dev/r/smithersai/smithers/)

Coverage

  • Method v4, causari 0.4.1. Detection from commit metadata only; survival from git blame -w -M -C at HEAD.
  • Full clone: yes. Method v4 refuses shallow clones; this row comes from a complete history.
  • Sample: 13,583 AI-tagged commits; the sample floor is 5. At or above the floor, so the ratio is aggregated into the report.
  • PROBABLE: 2 PROBABLE commits (29,989 lines introduced, 45 still at HEAD) are listed here and never summed into the VERIFIED counts.
  • Cap: 1,177 lines per commit in this repository; the capped ratio is 46.3 %.
  • .git-blame-ignore-revs: honoured.